Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.627561 0.805768 1.006657 1.247223 1.524813 1.832533 2.196869
2025-09-14 0.395298 0.620323 0.906847 1.286126 1.762834 2.330654 3.046363
2025-09-21 0.245666 0.478965 0.815070 1.302982 1.962519 2.794496 3.894052
2025-09-28 0.142814 0.358330 0.713110 1.276938 2.091486 3.171263 4.655473
2025-10-05 0.087840 0.286913 0.659580 1.300859 2.279444 3.628278 5.538450
2025-10-12 0.051403 0.227883 0.606387 1.309834 2.438395 4.048217 6.386846
2025-10-19 0.025363 0.169522 0.533430 1.268957 2.511410 4.345025 7.075208
2025-10-26 0.011352 0.126965 0.474922 1.238249 2.590441 4.647352 7.776281
2025-11-02 0.005027 0.101092 0.442829 1.247621 2.730142 5.040467 8.614225
2025-11-09 0.001325 0.073011 0.391030 1.206553 2.777487 5.292109 9.253456
2025-11-16 0.000435 0.062945 0.385724 1.259405 2.988653 5.801010 10.278763
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.048992 0.360005 1.262124 3.108414 6.169308 11.105021
2025-11-30 0.000001 0.044406 0.366752 1.342218 3.378607 6.792599 12.338074
2025-12-07 NaN 0.037794 0.361783 1.393762 3.598997 7.344306 13.479319
2025-12-14 NaN 0.030112 0.346481 1.417009 3.766496 7.815433 14.510231
2025-12-21 NaN 0.021075 0.314974 1.392116 3.837650 8.129397 15.308019
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016570 0.303773 1.418889 4.011164 8.617341 16.382294
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012293 0.287936 1.429121 4.150466 9.050246 17.378314
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007429 0.256440 1.386043 4.175521 9.287966 18.073066
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004327 0.230711 1.353571 4.218599 9.555735 18.818332
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002850 0.218992 1.363623 4.352754 9.984676 19.826050
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001293 0.193609 1.319985 4.364626 10.197090 20.490397
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001005 0.195814 1.376219 4.603264 10.818487 21.822333